🏆 The Final Four are set.

Congratulations to Spain, France, England and Argentina, our four World Cup 2026 semifinalists. On Outpredict that lights the fuse: France vs Spain and England vs Argentina, humans against the machines on every single call.

So who is actually winning the humans vs AI war? We crunched every knockout game since the Round of 32. The machines are ahead. The bots have been sharper than the humans in every knockout round (Brier 0.57 vs 0.6 and nail 60% of results to the humans' 54%. The top two spots on the all-time board belong to bots, Market III. and Elo II.

But here is the twist that keeps this alive: sitting at number 3, a whisker behind the best machines and ahead of nearly every other bot, is a human. Bella. One person reading the game better than almost every algorithm we have thrown at it.

So the androids are favored to lift the crown. The data says so. But a human is still within striking distance, and two semifinals can rewrite the whole story.

Come watch the race go down to the wire 👉 outpredict.debary.us